What is red mercury?
The only thing we can
be sure of is that it's a ripping yarn. Rumours that Soviet nuclear experts had
produced a mysterious explosive material with unimaginable destructive power
first circulated in the 1970s, and despite several official investigations and
subsequent denials the story refuses to die. The near-mythical compound cropped
up again on Sunday, when the News of the World claimed it had foiled a
terrorist plot to buy red mercury as material for a dirty bomb.
Depending on who you
believe, red mercury is either an elaborate hoax, a codename for nuclear
material smuggled through the former iron curtain, or a terrifying new trigger
for a handheld hydrogen bomb. What it isn't, according to the speculation and
hearsay that makes up the scientific literature on the subject, is any use for
a dirty bomb (one that scatters radioactive material).
"Nobody would
dream of getting that stuff for a dirty bomb," says Frank Barnaby, a
nuclear physicist who worked at the Atomic Weapons Establishment at Aldermaston
in the 1950s. "For a terrorist it would offer no significant advantages
over an ordinary high explosive or, if they wanted a dirty bomb, a radioactive
source. To go to the trouble of spending huge amounts of money on red mercury
makes no sense at all."
Particularly so if all
you get for the News of the World's reported price of £300,000 a kilo is
mercury dyed red with nail varnish, which, according to a 1994 investigation by
the Russian prosecutor-general's office, is what was in the "red
mercury" sold by Russian conmen throughout Europe and the Middle East
after the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Others, including Sam
Cohen, the inventor of the neutron bomb, disagree, and Barnaby says there is
evidence that the Soviets churned out vast quantities of mercury antimony
oxide, the intermediate - and equally elusive - compound from which red mercury
is supposedly produced by placing it inside a nuclear reactor. "There's no
doubt that they made a large amount of that stuff. I've talked to chemists who
have analysed it in East Germany," he says. "But what they did with
it is a mystery."
Some say the
intermediate compound can multiply the yield of explosions and that it was used
inside conventional Soviet nuclear weapons or as a rocket fuel additive. Others
say the compound was irradiated in the core of nuclear reactors to produce pure
red mercury, capable of exploding with enough heat and pressure to act as a
trigger inside a briefcase-sized fusion bomb.
The International
Atomic Energy Authority in Vienna takes a different view. "Red mercury
doesn't exist," a spokesman says. "The whole thing is a bunch of
malarkey."
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